Mock Draft 1.0 Picks 16-20
Monday, March 23, 2015
Picks 1-20 available on NFL Draft
The Texans are closer than a lot of people think. As a result, they don’t have a lot of immediate needs to fulfill. Obviously it’d be nice to get the quarterback situation solved here in the first round, but I don’t think O’Brien finds any of them to be better solutions than incumbent starter Ryan Mallett.
So the focus shifts to developing the weapons around the promising young quarterback, and in that, Jaelen Strong fits the range here. He’s pretty similar in size and frame to DeAndre Hopkins, but so was Andre Johnson. Strong is a guy who does everything asked of him and performs at a high level. His knock is size and measurables. But he should be able to rotate in pretty quickly and offer another dynamic young target for Mallet, and Hoyer when Mallet gets injured, and Tom Savage when Hoyer gets benched. Cheap shots fired.
Dental hygiene is important, children
Weight: 217 lbs.
2014 Stats: (12 games) 82 catches, 1165 yards, 10 touchdowns
Projection: Above-average WR2
Ceiling: Low-end WR1
NFL Comparison: Terrance Williams, WR, Cowboys- A little raw, but with excellent production, size and frame which matches a prototypical WR2, willing to go high or low for a ball, excellent catch radius, can slide inside to the slot but best served as an outside receiver.
Hey, every front office makes mistakes. Bear with me here though, we’ve seen Rex go up to get his guy before (Mark Sanchez) and he doesn’t strike me as the guy that would admit that was a mistake. The numbers on the Sanchez trade are as follows, move from 17th to 5th, trade their first round selection, a 2nd and DE Kenyon Coleman, S Abram Elam and QB Brett Ratliff. The reason I’m sticking with strictly picks here is that the Bills don’t have much in the way of player trade bait.
Here’s why it makes sense for the Chargers: Phillip Rivers is upset for some reason and wants out, I don’t think that’s all smoke. Regardless, Rivers is probably exiting his prime very soon if he hasn’t already, so they need to start thinking about a quarterback to groom, but nobody in this draft fits their offense and the range. Adding a first round pick next year will give them maneuverability to go up and get their guy, whoever emerges from the college ranks. Or they can stay put and get value as they refuel their team for the post-Rivers years. This is a good, future-conscious decision for the Chargers.
Here’s why it makes sense for the Bills: Rex is in win-now mode, he probably is a little antsy after getting run out of town in New York. The evidence: He traded for 27-year-old LeSean McCoy who probably will be in his prime for 2-3 more years max. The Bills don’t have a quarterback on roster who can win now. E.J. Manuel is probably not going to start. He’s from the previous regime and Rex has shown willingness to unload promising young players from the old regime (Kiko Alonso). So there’s no reason to believe Rex won’t try to snag the last viable starting quarterback in this draft in Mariota. And the fit actually makes a lot of sense.
Greg Roman, new Bills offensive coordinator, likes to pound it between the tackles, he runs a pretty traditional offense. This, coupled with the suffocating Bills defense should make for a very friendly environment for Mariota to not have to do it all himself. In that situation, his talent could shine. They even have a nice veteran insurance policy in Cassel who could start the season if Mariota isn’t quite ready. My only problem with this trade for the Bills is I don’t think Rex needs to rush to find his quarterback. I just think he will. And history agrees with me.
Calm down man, you won the Heisman
Weight: 222 lbs.
2014 Stats: 4454 yards, 42 touchdowns, 4 interceptions, 68.3% completion.
Projection: Average starter
Floor: Package player
Ceiling: Franchise quarterback
NFL Comparison: Tarvaris Jackson- Excellent size and frame, good mobility but struggles with his reads at times, can make all the throws with impressive velocity but struggles fitting it into traffic, has strong leadership qualities, good command of the huddle.
The Chiefs are a team which is about 75% complete in terms of starting level talent. Maclin was a solid pick-up, not considering the egregious contract, and should provide at least one more touchdown than the Chiefs were able to attain last year from their pitiful receiving corps. They have a growing young o-line, a solid starter and backup at quarterback and one of the game’s most exciting young tight ends in Travis Kelce. Defense is a bigger concern, particularly the defensive line where an infusion of talent is badly needed.
Brown is not a pure 3-4 nose like his would-be teammate Dontari Poe but he can play in relief while offering an excellent rotational piece at both end spots. His hand usage is NFL-starter level and he can penetrate into the backfield quickly because of this. Brown knows how to read the running game and make impact plays and requires multiple lineman consistently to keep him at bay. Some view him as a top-15 talent so finding him at 18, the Chiefs scoop him up and don’t ask questions.
Steering away from the obvious fat joke…
Weight: 319 lbs.
2014 Stats: 70 tackles, 13 tackles for loss, 6.5 sacks, 2 forced fumbles
Projection: Above-average rotational player
Ceiling: Pro Bowler
NFL Comparison: Star Lotulelei, DT, Carolina Panthers- A force against the run due to his strength and athleticism, he is a quick penetrator into the backfield with a strong skill-set to develop into a pass-rushing force.
The Browns finally made some positive strides on the offensive side of the ball, snagging Parker at pick 12. They have to find an upgrade at RT though, where Mitchell Schwartz has been a liability. Joe Thomas and Alex Mack have been the only talent on that o-line for far too long. The Browns brass, including Coach Mike Pettine, have expressed a desire to upgrade the position so this seems like a no-brainer.
D.J. Humphries is, arguably, the most pro-ready tackle left on the board. He’s got a complete game as far as his ability against the run and the pass. He’s a superior athlete with a mean-streak but he lacks the refined qualities of the higher-ranked lineman available. He handled fellow 1st round pick Shane Ray well when they played, which has impressed scouts.
You’re scaring the kids, DJ
Weight: 307 lbs.
Projection: Average starting right tackle
Ceiling: Above-average left tackle
NFL Comparison: Anthony Davis, RT, San Francisco 49ers- All-around skill set as a lineman, and with prototypical size for a bookend, possesses the ability to stand up against top-level pass rushers and reach the second-level of defenses consistently in the run, but must refine his technique to reach his full potential.
So an obvious need at running back is going to be completely ignored here. Cue laugh track. There’s some issues at guard but the starting caliber G/T prospects are off the board. Receiver could be an option here but Green-Beckham would be a reach at this point and he hasn’t proven himself as a blocker (like Kelly looks for).
Landon Collins could be the final piece for a very promising young defense as a true starting strong safety. Earl Wolff is not a starter in this league, at least not yet. Collins could pair nicely with last year’s acquisition Malcolm Jenkins as long as Jenkins continues to improve. In Collins and Jenkins, the Eagles would have a very rangy duo of safeties that can cover deep and hold-up in run support. The book on Collins is that he might be a liability against the pass but I think that’s being overstated going into the draft. That doesn’t often show up on tape. He’s a confident defender which can be a very hard thing for coaches to teach.
Unreleased Dancing With the Stars Audition Tape
Weight: 228 lbs.
2014 Stats: 102 tackles, 4.5 tackles for loss, 7 passes broken up, 3 interceptions
Projection: Above-average starter
Floor: Career backup
Ceiling: Strong starter
NFL Comparison: LaRon Landry, S, Indianapolis Colts- A thumper against the run with his impressive frame and weight, can fly around the football field as a superior athlete. He has his poor moments against the pass but holds up well when put in good positions. Best fit as a close-to-the-line strong safety.