Gut Picks Week 8

We were unfortunately unable to do a show this week, but that doesn’t mean we can’t put out great content, below are my gut picks, which were personally requested. Enjoy!

  • Trentyn

Dolphins @ Texans

This one’s pretty simple, the Dolphins and Texans are trending in different directions. The better team wins, and this has the potential to be another Thursday night blowout.

Pick: Texans

 

Eagles @ Jags

When will the Jags defense get back on track? They have easily the most stacked defensive roster in the league, which means that either there’s a lack of effort on the part of the players or an issue in scheme. Regardless, even in the loss last week, the defense allowed only 20 points, so this won’t be an easy win for the Eagles, who have struggled to consistently score points this year. The Barnett injury is also concerning.

Pick: Jags

 

Jets @ Bears

Bounce back time for the once-mighty Bears defense. So far, the AFC East has been their kryptonite, but the Jets don’t have the same firepower as the Patriots and I still see the Dolphins loss as a major fluke. Bears win big.

Pick: Bears

 

Buccaneers @ Bengals

Two teams that have had mostly explosive offenses. The Bengals have the far superior running game and their defense is at least capable of making some plays and putting pressure on the QB. The Bucs defense is a hot mess and the first half against the Browns was a lone exception to an otherwise dreadful season.

Pick: Bengals

 

Seahawks @ Lions

The Seahawks are coming off their bye week and were hot going in, coming off a thrashing of the Raiders. The Lions, much like the Seahawks earlier in the season, have been much more disciplined in their run versus pass lately. Patricia’s team is buying in, and the fact is they simply have a better roster than the Seahawks. Expect a tight one, this could be the weekly OT game.

Pick: Lions

 

Broncos @ Chiefs

This one’s a no brainer. The Broncos offense didn’t play particularly well against the Cardinals, and they still force Keenum to throw the ball too much. Until they learn to play ball control, I give them no chance against a team they couldn’t beat in their own house a couple weeks ago. Chiefs roll.

Pick: Chiefs

 

Redskins @ Giants

Not brave enough to pick the upset, but I’m smelling it. Funky things happen in divisional games and the Redskins haven’t been nearly as dominant as their 2 game lead in the NFC East would indicate. I’m still majorly concerned about how the Saints dismantled them a couple weeks ago. The Giants will try to run the ball, but if Eli takes some shots downfield, he’ll enjoy the results of OBJ vs. Norman. Screw it, I’ve convinced myself.

Pick: Giants

 

Browns @ Steelers

The Browns have done a good job containing Roethlisberger and company lately, and showed resilience in rallying from a 14 point deficit week 1. Baker Mayfield has undoubtedly improved the offense, but the Steelers defense has also looked better lately, and the Browns defense worse. This one will be close, and I wouldn’t be surprised if another extra period was needed to decide it. But ultimately, none of that matters, Steelers sweep.

Pick: Steelers

 

Ravens @ Panthers

My weekly crusade against Carolina looked to be on its way to ultimate justification… then THAT fourth quarter happened. And worst of all, THAT play. Seriously, Eagles? Couldn’t contain the unstoppable duo of Cam Newton and Torrey Smith on fourth and ten. Anything less than ten yards and the story would be about how the Eagles held off a late Panthers rally and how Cam Newton failed to deliver in a big moment once again. Sadly, that’s not the world we live in and the Panthers are 4-2. I, however, do not see a scenario in which the Panthers consistently move the ball against this stout Ravens defense. SO I’m picking against the Panthers again. Sue me.

Pick: Ravens

 

Colts @ Raiders

No Amari Cooper, but that doesn’t change the look of this Raiders offense too much. They’ll move the ball against the Colts, who have struggled against good quarterbacks. Big bounce-back game for Carr in what should be a shootout with Luck and the red-hot, no-name Colts offense. Colts by a hair.

Pick: Colts

 

Packers @ Rams

Doesn’t this feel like the type of game the Rams could lose? A date with the Saints in New Orleans is looming and no one would blame the Rams for looking ahead. Looking past Aaron Rodgers could prove deadly. I have this game as a major upset alert, but I promised I’d pick the Rams until they lose, and literally no one has stopped Todd Gurley. This Packers D is not up to the task. I’m not sure anyone is, but that game against the Saints will feature his stiffest challenge yet with the Saints holding the number 1 rush defense in the NFL.

Pick: Rams

 

49ers @ Cardinals

Man, this matchup has about as much sizzle as Broncos Cards from last week. The Niners will bounce back from the rough outing against the Rams, but the Cards were embarrassed more last week. This is purely a feeling, but I think Rosen and the crew get it done.

Pick: Cards

 

Saints @ Vikings

As per usual, I’ve spent way too much time thinking about this one to truly call this a gut pick. As mentioned earlier, the Saints have the league’s best run defense (big credit to free agent addition DeMario Davis). We’ve seen the Vikings struggle mightily when they get off their run-pass balance. The Vikings also have a major laundry list of injuries including but not limited to starters CB Xavier Rhodes, DE Everson Griffen, DT Linval Joseph, LB Anthony Barr, and G Tom Compton. The Saints are basically completely healthy. Yes, this is at the Vikings, but I think the Saints have an opportunity not only to win, but to win convincingly.

Pick: Saints

 

Patriots @ Bills

Patriots are on a major roll, having put up 38 or more every game since losing to the Lions, all wins. So of course the Bills are going to destroy them. That’s just how Sean McDermott rolls.

 

Had you going there for a second, huh?

Pick: Patriots

 

Well, that was fun. Come back tomorrow for my thoughts on the recent trades and more.

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