1. Arizona Cardinals: Kyler Murray, QB, Oklahoma
There has been so much smokescreen involved with this pick. The most recent one, where the Cards reportedly floated the idea of drafting Murray to drum up ticket sales, and that they view Bosa as a generational prospect, reeks of a team trying to force a 1-2 switch with the Niners. It might happen, but I expect Murray to end up with the Cards regardless. They desperately need more offensive line talent though.
2. San Francisco 49ers: Nick Bosa, Edge, Ohio State
If the Niners stand pat at two, they’ll get the best player in the class. Bosa is ready immediately to contribute opposite Dee Ford, and give some serious juice to this Niners defense.
3. TRADE: Washington Redskins: Dwayne Haskins, QB, Ohio State
Trade details: Redskins receive 3, Jets receive 15, 48, 2020 2nd, 3rd
The Jets and Redskins look like logical trade partners, and Haskins and the Redskins have emerged as a hot item. Haskins has a good chance to begin this year as the starter, and massively improves the potential of this team.
4. Oakland Raiders: Quinnen Williams, DI, Alabama
The Raiders stand pat at four and let an exceptional talent fall to them. Williams would be the number one overall pick in many drafts, and has generational potential. He also happens to be incredibly safe, with an easily translatable skill set, and should wreak havoc in the middle for Oakland.
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Josh Allen, Edge, Kentucky
The early run on QBs suits the Bucs just fine, as they get an instant contributor that they sorely need opposite JPP. The Bucs are installing a 3-4 defense, and Allen is a perfect fit as a versatile linebacker with exceptional coverage ability and pass rush skills.
6. New York Giants: Ed Oliver, DI, Houston
Ed Oliver has shot up boards in the lead up to the draft. His pro day was especially impressive. If he’s there and Josh Allen isn’t, this should be the pick for the Giants. Oliver helps rebuild a once-fearsome defensive line as a seriously athletic interior presence with basically limitless potential.
7. Jacksonville Jaguars: Jawaan Taylor, T, Florida
Taylor is expected by many to be the first tackle off the board, and it’s easy to see why with his prototypical size for the position and outstanding foot quickness. He also has excellent play strength, though inconsistent fundamentals. His tape is impressive and the Jags have a serious need.
8. Detroit Lions: Jonah Williams, OL, Alabama
Williams can play anywhere on the offensive line, and he should be an upgrade in most spots on the Lions line, but they have a glaring need at the guard position that T.J. Lang just vacated via retirement.
9. TRADE Cincinnati Bengals: Drew Lock, QB, Missouri
Trade Details: Bengals receive 9, 112, Bills receive 11, 72
With new coach Zac Taylor in place, I expect the Bengals to move on from the mostly fruitless Andy Dalton era. Though Lock may not start right away, he has a great chance to be the franchise quarterback within a year or two. The Bengals move up a couple of spots, to get ahead of the Broncos, and other teams like the Giants who might have been interested.
10. Denver Broncos: Devin White, LB, LSU
In this scenario, the Broncos get an ideal replacement for Danny Trevathan, and more recently Brandon Marshall. Pairing White with last year’s pick Josey Jewell gives the Broncos a completely retooled middle of the defense that should dominate together for years.
11. TRADE Houston Texans: Andre Dillard, T, Washington State
Trade Details: Texans receive 11, Bills receive 23, 54, 2020 3rd
The Texans have been rumored to trade up for offensive line help, and Dillard looks to be the guy they’re targeting. Dillard would mark a huge upgrade at the offensive line, and fix one of the biggest holes on the Texans, giving them an excellent prospect with actual potential at the tackle position.
12. Green Bay Packers: T.J. Hockenson, TE, Iowa
The Packers tried to shore up the tight end position with Jimmy Graham last year, and he was largely a disappointment. Hockenson could be the next great player at the position, with a great mix of blocking and receiving skills.
13. Miami Dolphins: Rashan Gary, DL, Michigan
Gary tumbles a bit in this mock, but the Dolphins continue to build a young, dynamic defense with Gary, who is described by many as a freak. He’s waiting for anyone to develop him, and new coach Brian Flores seems like an ideal fit for his unique skillset.
14. Atlanta Falcons: Christian Wilkins, DI, Clemson
The Falcons learned the value of depth on defense last year, with so many injuries to key players. Wilkins may not seem to fill a need, but he has top ten talent and production at a key position.
15. New York Jets: Noah Fant, TE, Iowa
The Jets get a player they value, and pick up a lion’s ransom in the bargain. Darnold will love having a dynamic target like Fant down the seam.
16. Carolina Panthers: Brian Burns, Edge, Florida State
Edge has been a big need for the Panthers for awhile, and Julius Peppers has gamely performed in that role, but with his retirement, the need can no longer be ignored. Burns happens to have an outstanding pass rushing skill set, and profiles similarly as a pro to new-teammate Mario Addison, though much longer and bendier.
17. New York Giants: Daniel Jones, QB, Duke
The Giants stay home here and their coveted QB falls to them. The David Cutcliffe connection is real, and I imagine if Eli had to choose his own successor, he’d recommend Daniel Jones. Besides that, Jones should be ready to take over when needed as the Giants shift to a more run-heavy, short-passing offense.
18. Minnesota Vikings: Cody Ford, T/G, Oklahoma
Ford is an excellent find here for the Vikings, as he fills a major need wherever he slides in. A unanimous All-American, Ford gave up only seven pressures as the starter at right tackle all season.
19. Tennessee Titans: Clelin Ferrell, Edge, Clemson
Especially after Derrick Morgan fell off, and with Brian Orakpo getting ever older, a player like Ferrell makes too much sense here. He might go before this, due to his schematic versatility.
20. Pittsburgh Steelers: Rock Ya Sin, CB, Temple
Mike Tomlin is said to majorly covet Ya Sin, and views him as an ideal fit, for his notoriusly-difficult-for-cornerbacks scheme. That’s enough for me to believe he’ll pass up on maybe more talented options. Don’t be surprised if the Steelers trade back and still net Ya Sin.
21. TRADE: Indianapolis Colts: Jerry Tillery, DI, Notre Dame
Trade Details: Colts receive 21, 124, Seahawks receive 26, 59
The Seahawks, even after the Frank Clark trade, are still light on picks, so scooping up another second rounder to drop back five spots is a relative bargain. They also scoop up a premiere talent in Tillery, who tied with Quinnen Williams for the highest pass rushing grade of interior defensive lineman.
22. Baltimore Ravens: A.J. Brown, WR, Ole Miss
I still think Brown will be the pick here. He’s the ideal, rugged, dependable chain mover that helps in the running game that Harbaugh wants and needs for his transitioning offense. Basically, he’s what the Ravens hoped they were getting from Crabtree last year.
23. Buffalo Bills: D.K. Metcalf, WR, Ole Miss
After picking up a boatload of picks, the Bills find a potential number one receiver of the future in Metcalf. He profiles athletically similar to Julio Jones, but doesn’t have the same production and polish, which is why he’s still available at this point.
24. Oakland Raiders: Josh Jacobs, RB, Alabama
The ideal running back for the Gruden offense, Jacobs represents excellent value here, as I believe he has top fifteen talent and looks to me like a more rugged Alvin Kamara on tape.
25. Philadelphia Eagles: Devin Bush, LB, Michigan
The tumble of Bush isn’t indicative of his talent or potential, just how the board fell. The Eagles gladly end it, finding an ideal Jordan Hicks replacement and scooping him up with open arms.
26. Seattle Seahawks: Nasir Adderley, S, Delaware
Adderley is the best center fielder in the draft, and an ideal replacement for Earl Thomas, filling one of the weakest spots on the Seahawks’ defense. Sweat could be a consideration here, considering the obvious edge need after the Frank Clark trade, but the Seahawks haven’t visited with him and probably don’t have enough info to be comfortable with his medical.
27. Oakland Raiders: Montez Sweat, Edge, Mississippi State
The heart condition tumble isn’t anything new to the Raiders, as they scooped up Maurice Hurst in the fifth round last year. The condition isn’t considered as bad for Sweat, so the Raiders pounce here, having done plenty of pre-draft work on him. He represents incredible value here as a height-weight-speed specimen with solid tape.
28. TRADE New England Patriots: Will Grier, QB, West Virginia
I’ve heard a lot of love from the Patriots for Will Grier and it feels genuine. Grier is a highly accomplished college passer with a mature approach. He’ll be an ideal understudy for Brady and will either be the heir apparent, or a solid trade chip in a couple of years.
29. Seattle Seahawks: Lonnie Johnson Jr., CB, Kentucky
The Seahawks still covet long, athletic corners, and they don’t come much more tantalizing than Johnson. With the extra second round picks, they should find better value at edge, but Johnson has a special combination of height, weight and speed.
30. Green Bay Packers: Kaleb McGary, T, Washington
The Packers, strangely, don’t have many visits with players in this range, suggesting they may try to trade out, be it down or up. If they stay, McGary’s rare size and foot quickness make him a potential first round surprise, and he is one of the very few Packers visits that fits the range. The Packers need to find a replacement for Brian Bulaga.
31. Los Angeles Rams: Byron Murphy, CB, Washington
The Rams find outstanding value here and continue to stock a stacked secondary against poor play and injuries. Murphy might be the best corner in the draft, so the Rams happily scoop him up.
32. Los Angeles Chargers: Mack Wilson, LB, Alabama
Any number of defensive players could be considered here, but I’ve believed for a long time that linebacker is their biggest need. The Chargers seem to like Mack Wilson, and after picking up extra draft capital and dropping back, they can be excused for what might be considered a minor reach.
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