Third Round Live Grades

Round Three Grades

May 1, 2015

Colts: D’Joun Smith, CB, Florida Atlantic

djoun smith

Grade: B-

Smith is a solid player and fits the range here. There were a lot of people calling for Greg Toler’s head opposite Vontae Davis which I feel was a bit unfounded. Because of that, I didn’t feel it was a huge need, but a nice player at this spot.

Titans: Jeremiah Poutasi, OG, Utah

Jeremiah-Poutasi

Grade: C+

Titans needed a ton of offensive line help, though I have to say I would have liked to see a tackle here, T.J. Clemmings anyone? Potouasi is a 3-4 round prospect so it’s a minor reach.

Jaguars: A.J. Cann, OG, South Carolina

cann

Grade: A+

Wow, Jags making good moves? Crazy. Either way, Caan is a steal here in the third, should’ve been a high second round pick. Could be the best pure guard in the draft. Jags have to protect Bortles and get a running game going, good step towards that.

Raiders: Clive Walford, TE, Miami

NCAA Football: Florida A&M at Miami

Grade: B

I love the talent here at the spot but I’ve read that Walford has a bit of an attitude, don’t want that clouding a very young locker room. Hopefully Del Rio can straighten him out but this could hurt the Raiders in the long run.

Seahawks: Tyler Lockett, WR, Kansas State

lock

Grade: A

People are not high enough on this kid who I feel should have been taken in the early second round, he’s a razor sharp route runner with great work ethic and high character. He will contribute immediately and Wilson will love him. The rich get richer.

Texans: Jaelen Strong, WR, Arizona State

jaleenstrong3

Grade: Is there a higher than A+ grade? grade

Texans fill a need with the best player available and that player happens to be a top-15 talent. His knock is an injury that will cause him to be out through training camp and possibly into the season but once he’s healthy he’s smart enough and polished enough to come in and contribute immediately. Incredible.

Bears: Hroniss Grasu, C, Oregon

HGrasu

Grade: C+

He’s a fourth round guy but this fills a need, I just think it’s a bit of a reach. He’s a consistent guy but has a fairly low ceiling.

Rams: Jamon Brown, OT, Louisville

Jamon

Grade: C+

Same story, fills a big need but he may not even be talented enough to start right away. With T.J. Clemmings still available, this pick leaves me scratching my head.

Falcons: Tevin Coleman, RB, Indiana

Tevin Coleman, Kurtis Drummond

Grade: A

Love this pick, Coleman was my third-best running back in this draft so to get him in the early-mid third is a big steal. He was a game-breaker at Indiana and will fit right into the rotation for the Falcons.

Giants: Owamagbe Odighizuwa, DE, UCLA

owa

Grade: A

Wow, some great picks here. Giants get a great run-stuffer with pass rush ability who could immediately contribute on their defensive line in the third round. Love the guy and the pick.

Saints: Garrett Grayson, QB, Colorado State

grayson

Grade: B-

I love Garrett Grayson. I think he has incredible touch, poise, adequate power. I don’t think the Saints needed a QB here but I’m not terribly surprised. Especially since, as expected, all the Petty talk was smoke.

Chiefs: Chris Conley, WR, Georgia

Georgia Football versus Tennessee

Grade: B

I’m conflicted here because I think Conley is underrated. However, I think he would have been available in the fourth. Lots of better players available but good fit for need for the Chiefs.

Browns: Duke Johnson, RB, Miami

Florida Atlantic at Miami

Grade: C

Do the Browns need another underwhelming back? Ajayi is a better player and still available, plus Terrence West was solid last year and they also have Isiah Crowell who played well at times. Johnson is about on par with them so I don’t really get it.

Saints: P.J. Williams, CB, Florida State

pf

Grade: B+

He had a DUI charge dropped recently and there are some on-field concerns with technique but he’s a second round talent so this is a nice pickup. Saints had more pressing needs but this is a BPA situation.

49ers: Eli Harold, DE, Virginia

eli

Grade: A

Nice find in the mid-third round for San Francisco, Eli Harold was the best player left on the board and gives the niners some insurance in case Aldon Smith gets in trouble again.

Lions: Alex Carter, CB, Stanford

alex

Grade: A-

Fills a big need seeing as Rashean Mathis has to turn to dirt at some point this season so they’ll need some insurance. Carter was the best corner available and the range fits perfectly.

Bills: John Miller, G, Louisville

Miller vs. ND

Grade: B

Wow, no QB? It’s about the spot where Petty or Hundley would be acceptable but they go with this guy, who is a solid guard but that wasn’t a huge need. They still have a huge hole under center but they get a good player.

Jets: Lorenzo Mauldin, OLB, Louisville

mauldin

Grade: C-

Mauldin is a fine prospect, in the fifth round. This is a serious reach to fill a need, they must have some serious conviction in this kid, but currently I don’t. They had to make up for the steal they got in Williams though, it’s the Jets.

Chargers: Craig Mager, CB, Texas State

mager

Grade:D

Yikes, what were they thinking? This is a huge over-drafting situation and it’s not even a position of pressing need. The only reason I don’t give this an F is I think he could develop into a fine player down the line, but he needs a few years.

Eagles: Jordan Hicks, ILB, Texas

hicks

Grade: C-

So they’re shopping Mychal Kendricks and this is their answer? Gotta say I’m scratching my head here. No way is Hicks a third round draft pick. Chip overvalues athleticism sometimes and here’s another example.

Bengals: Tyler Kroft, TE, Rutgers

kroft_ul

Grade: C

It’s clear that the Bengals don’t understand or care about their needs. They have a capable starter in Tyler Eiffert. Also, they had the lowest number of sacks in the NFL last year. Where’s the defensive help? Kroft is a fine player but he probably won’t play this year.

Cardinals: David Johnson, RB, Northern Iowa

david

Grade: B-

Right position, wrong player. David Johnson is more of a power guy so it makes sense to pair him with Ellington. What makes no sense is why they didn’t take Jay Ajayi who is a significantly superior prospect.

Steelers: Sammie Coates, WR, Auburn

1215_Sammie-Coates_inside

Grade: A

Coates is an excellent player who needs to improve his hands but this is a steal here, he’s lightning quick and a crisp route runner. Nice find for Pittsburgh who continue to help Roethlisberger as he gets older.

Vikings: Danielle Hunter, DE, LSU

danielle

Grade: A-

The only reason I’m not jumping for this pick is that Hunter never really produced at LSU but this is the spot to take a prospect with a massive ceiling. Hunter is a wall of muscle and an athletic freak. Great place to go being paired with defensive-minded Mike Zimmer. Vikings building a nice looking defense.

Rams: Sean Mannion, QB, Oregon State

Sean Mannion

Grade: B

Mannion is a fine player but he needs some talent to throw to and the Rams have a middling receiving corps. Thankfully he won’t be asked to help right away with Foles entrenched as the starter. Mannion could end up being a fine starter in this situation. The Rams have to find some juice for their receiving corps though.

Ravens: Carl Davis, DT, Iowa

carl davis

Grade: A+

Ravens have had a bad draft to this point but this is an excellent find in the late third. Davis fell for really no good reason so finding him hear has to get the Ravens fired up, he will be a fine replacement for Ngata.

Cowboys: Chaz Green, OT, Florida

rn_i_chazgreen_ms_600

Grade: B

Slight overdraft but I fully understand the pick, one injury to either Smith or Free and the Cowboys cupboard is bare. Green could start for some teams so he’s a nice find here in the late third. Disappointed the Cowboys missed on Ajayi though.

Broncos: Jeff Heuerman, TE, Ohio State

OSU12NEB_MM ONLINE 50

Grade: B

Fine player at this spot, he was probably the best tight end available and the Broncos can’t yet rely solely on Virgil Green, but Heuerman was a fourth round guy on my board. It’s a weak draft for tight ends.

Colts: Henry Anderson, DE, Stanford

Oregon State v Stanford

Grade: B-

Another mid-fourth round talent but understandable selection for a need area. He’s a hard-hat type player with good character and size. Solid find and should fit into the rotation in Indianapolis

Packers: Ty Montgomery, WR, Stanford

montgomery2

Grade: B-

Another receiver for the Packers? No inside linebacker? Kind of unbelievable at this point that they’re just ignooring the position. Granted, I really like Montgomery and think he’s been underrated throughout the draft process.

Redskins: Matt Jones, RB, Florida

matt jones

Grade: B

Roy Helu replacement? Alfred Morris compliment? Not sure where he fits but he’s a good player and a bit of a steal here as I had him as an early third-round guy.

Browns: Xavier Cooper, DT, Washington State

xavier

Grade: A-

I love Cooper as a prospect and feel he is severely underrated, this is a great grade for me since I feel Danny Shelton, who the Browns picked earlier, is a two-down guy. Cooper will fit into the rotation. Great replacement for the disappointing Ahtyba Rubin.

Patriots: Geneo Grissom, DE, Oklahoma

geneo

Grade: C+

This is such a Bellichick pick. Grissom is a very raw prospect with massive talent and ideal size that will probably become a pro bowler under his tutelage. But he’s a fifth round prospect so for the sake of grades, I don’t love it.

Chiefs: Steven Nelson, CB, Oregon State

steven

Grade: B

He fits the scheme really well as an off-corner with a physical mean-streak. He’s a slight reach and there are better corners available so I don’t love it but he could contribute and the Chiefs need some insurance if Marcus Peters doesn’t work out.

Bengals: Paul Dawson, ILB, TCU

NCAA FOOTBALL: OCT 04 Oklahoma at TCU

Grade: A+

Finally, Bengals go defense and what a way to do it. Dawson is a first round talent on tape who had a bad combine performance. Dawson is a ready and willing contributor and the Bengals are a great situation for him as he has some slight character concerns and Marvin Lewis is a very capable disciplinarian.

Mock Draft 1.0 (Picks 16-20)

Mock Draft 1.0 Picks 16-20

Monday, March 23, 2015

Picks 1-20 available on NFL Draft

16 texans Jaelen Strong, WR, Arizona State University

The Texans are closer than a lot of people think. As a result, they don’t have a lot of immediate needs to fulfill. Obviously it’d be nice to get the quarterback situation solved here in the first round, but I don’t think O’Brien finds any of them to be better solutions than incumbent starter Ryan Mallett.

So the focus shifts to developing the weapons around the promising young quarterback, and in that, Jaelen Strong fits the range here. He’s pretty similar in size and frame to DeAndre Hopkins, but so was Andre Johnson. Strong is a guy who does everything asked of him and performs at a high level. His knock is size and measurables. But he should be able to rotate in pretty quickly and offer another dynamic young target for Mallet, and Hoyer when Mallet gets injured, and Tom Savage when Hoyer gets benched. Cheap shots fired.

JaelenStrong

Dental hygiene is important, children

Height: 6’2

Weight: 217 lbs.

2014 Stats: (12 games) 82 catches, 1165 yards, 10 touchdowns

Projection: Above-average WR2

Floor: WR4

Ceiling: Low-end WR1

NFL Comparison: Terrance Williams, WR, Cowboys- A little raw, but with excellent production, size and frame which matches a prototypical WR2, willing to go high or low for a ball, excellent catch radius, can slide inside to the slot but best served as an outside receiver.

17 chargers TRADE TO BillsMarcus Mariota, QB, Oregon (Chargers receive 2016 1st and 3rd, 2015 2nd, Bills receive 2015 1st, 5th, 2016 4th)

Hey, every front office makes mistakes. Bear with me here though, we’ve seen Rex go up to get his guy before (Mark Sanchez) and he doesn’t strike me as the guy that would admit that was a mistake. The numbers on the Sanchez trade are as follows, move from 17th to 5th, trade their first round selection, a 2nd and DE Kenyon Coleman, S Abram Elam and QB Brett Ratliff. The reason I’m sticking with strictly picks here is that the Bills don’t have much in the way of player trade bait.

Here’s why it makes sense for the Chargers: Phillip Rivers is upset for some reason and wants out, I don’t think that’s all smoke. Regardless, Rivers is probably exiting his prime very soon if he hasn’t already, so they need to start thinking about a quarterback to groom, but nobody in this draft fits their offense and the range. Adding a first round pick next year will give them maneuverability to go up and get their guy, whoever emerges from the college ranks. Or they can stay put and get value as they refuel their team for the post-Rivers years. This is a good, future-conscious decision for the Chargers.

Here’s why it makes sense for the Bills: Rex is in win-now mode, he probably is a little antsy after getting run out of town in New York. The evidence: He traded for 27-year-old LeSean McCoy who probably will be in his prime for 2-3 more years max. The Bills don’t have a quarterback on roster who can win now. E.J. Manuel is probably not going to start. He’s from the previous regime and Rex has shown willingness to unload promising young players from the old regime (Kiko Alonso). So there’s no reason to believe Rex won’t try to snag the last viable starting quarterback in this draft in Mariota. And the fit actually makes a lot of sense.

Greg Roman, new Bills offensive coordinator, likes to pound it between the tackles, he runs a pretty traditional offense. This, coupled with the suffocating Bills defense should make for a very friendly environment for Mariota to not have to do it all himself. In that situation, his talent could shine. They even have a nice veteran insurance policy in Cassel who could start the season if Mariota isn’t quite ready. My only problem with this trade for the Bills is I don’t think Rex needs to rush to find his quarterback. I just think he will. And history agrees with me.

Mariota

Calm down man, you won the Heisman

Height: 6’4

Weight: 222 lbs.

2014 Stats: 4454 yards, 42 touchdowns, 4 interceptions, 68.3% completion.

Projection: Average starter

Floor: Package player

Ceiling: Franchise quarterback

NFL Comparison: Tarvaris Jackson- Excellent size and frame, good mobility but struggles with his reads at times, can make all the throws with impressive velocity but struggles fitting it into traffic, has strong leadership qualities, good command of the huddle.

18 chiefs helmet Malcom Brown, DL, Texas

The Chiefs are a team which is about 75% complete in terms of starting level talent. Maclin was a solid pick-up, not considering the egregious contract, and should provide at least one more touchdown than the Chiefs were able to attain last year from their pitiful receiving corps. They have a growing young o-line, a solid starter and backup at quarterback and one of the game’s most exciting young tight ends in Travis Kelce. Defense is a bigger concern, particularly the defensive line where an infusion of talent is badly needed.

Brown is not a pure 3-4 nose like his would-be teammate Dontari Poe but he can play in relief while offering an excellent rotational piece at both end spots. His hand usage is NFL-starter level and he can penetrate into the backfield quickly because of this. Brown knows how to read the running game and make impact plays and requires multiple lineman consistently to keep him at bay. Some view him as a top-15 talent so finding him at 18, the Chiefs scoop him up and don’t ask questions.

Malcom

Steering away from the obvious fat joke…

Height: 6’2

Weight: 319 lbs.

2014 Stats: 70 tackles, 13 tackles for loss, 6.5 sacks, 2 forced fumbles

Projection: Above-average rotational player

Floor: Journeyman

Ceiling: Pro Bowler

NFL Comparison: Star Lotulelei, DT, Carolina Panthers- A force against the run due to his strength and athleticism, he is a quick penetrator into the backfield with a strong skill-set to develop into a pass-rushing force.

19 browns helmet DJ Humphries, OT, Florida

The Browns finally made some positive strides on the offensive side of the ball, snagging Parker at pick 12. They have to find an upgrade at RT though, where Mitchell Schwartz has been a liability. Joe Thomas and Alex Mack have been the only talent on that o-line for far too long. The Browns brass, including Coach Mike Pettine, have expressed a desire to upgrade the position so this seems like a no-brainer.

D.J. Humphries is, arguably, the most pro-ready tackle left on the board. He’s got a complete game as far as his ability against the run and the pass. He’s a superior athlete with a mean-streak but he lacks the refined qualities of the higher-ranked lineman available. He handled fellow 1st round pick Shane Ray well when they played, which has impressed scouts.

Humphries

You’re scaring the kids, DJ

Height: 6’5

Weight: 307 lbs.

Projection: Average starting right tackle

Floor: Journeyman

Ceiling: Above-average left tackle

NFL Comparison: Anthony Davis, RT, San Francisco 49ers- All-around skill set as a lineman, and with prototypical size for a bookend, possesses the ability to stand up against top-level pass rushers and reach the second-level of defenses consistently in the run, but must refine his technique to reach his full potential.

20 Eagles Landon Collins, SS, Alabama

So an obvious need at running back is going to be completely ignored here. Cue laugh track. There’s some issues at guard but the starting caliber G/T prospects are off the board. Receiver could be an option here but Green-Beckham would be a reach at this point and he hasn’t proven himself as a blocker (like Kelly looks for).

Landon Collins could be the final piece for a very promising young defense as a true starting strong safety. Earl Wolff is not a starter in this league, at least not yet. Collins could pair nicely with last year’s acquisition Malcolm Jenkins as long as Jenkins continues to improve. In Collins and Jenkins, the Eagles would have a very rangy duo of safeties that can cover deep and hold-up in run support. The book on Collins is that he might be a liability against the pass but I think that’s being overstated going into the draft. That doesn’t often show up on tape. He’s a confident defender which can be a very hard thing for coaches to teach.

Landon Collins

Unreleased Dancing With the Stars Audition Tape

Height: 6’0

Weight: 228 lbs.

2014 Stats: 102 tackles, 4.5 tackles for loss, 7 passes broken up, 3 interceptions

Projection: Above-average starter

Floor: Career backup

Ceiling: Strong starter

NFL Comparison: LaRon Landry, S, Indianapolis Colts- A thumper against the run with his impressive frame and weight, can fly around the football field as a superior athlete. He has his poor moments against the pass but holds up well when put in good positions. Best fit as a close-to-the-line strong safety.