Mock Draft 3.0

Mock Draft 3.0

This post also appears in NFL Draft

  1. Bucs: Jameis Winston, QB, Florida State

This one is written in stone at this point, people will yawn when this one’s announced at the podium.

ACC Championship - Duke v Florida State

  1. Titans: Marcus Mariota, QB, Oregon

After much ado, the Titans cave and take a quarterback that could add a big spark to their franchise.

marcus-mariota-7

  1. TRADE Falcons: Dante Fowler Jr., OLB, Florida (Jaguars receive Falcons 1st, 2nd, 4th 2016 3rd)

Falcons jump up to grab the best overall outside backer in the draft to add some much-needed juice to their pass rush. How bad do they need it? The Falcons often couldn’t get to the passer before I would finish running a forty on a given play.

Fowler2

  1. Raiders: Amari Cooper, WR, Alabama

Kevin White may be the guy here but it’s looking more and more like the Raiders will be content with the pro-ready ultra-safe Alabama product. Unless Al Davis’ ghost shows up, then it’s White all the way.

amari-cooper

  1. TRADE Browns: Kevin White, WR, West Virginia (Redskins Receive Browns 1st, 2nd, 4th, 2016 2nd)

There have been talks heating up recently about the Browns jumping up and the Skins moving down. The Browns need a wide receiver like Floyd Mayweather needs a muzzle.

white

  1. TRADE Saints: Leonard Williams, DE/DT, USC (Jets receive Saints 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 2016 2nd, Saints receive Jets 4th)

Jets see more value in an extra second rounder here and the Saints jump up to grab a defensive difference maker. Williams will immediately provide some intrigue to a defensive line as stale as day-old popcorn.

leonard williams

  1. Bears: Danny Shelton, NT, Washington

Bears and Shelton are practically married in my mocks. It’s a match made in heaven too, I hope for nothing but their happily ever after.

shelton

  1. Jaguars: Todd Gurley, RB, Georgia

Jags want Gurley but they also want him at the right price, believe it or not David Caldwell nails this transaction and gets the guy he wanted most anyway, the extra second rounder will help with the pass rush need.

Tennessee v Georgia

  1. Giants: Brandon Scherff, OT/OG, Iowa

Could see pass rusher here but you’ve got to think the Giants see their rivals in Dallas building the league’s best o-line. It’s a copycat league, always has been.

scherff

  1. Rams: Trae Waynes, CB, Michigan State

Rams grab the starting corner Janoris Jenkins wishes he could be. Waynes and Jenkins will be an absolute nightmare for the soft NFC West receivers.

waynes

  1. Vikings: DeVante Parker, WR, Louisville

Parker and Bridgewater reunited, it even feels good for me and I could care less about the Vikings. Should help both parties, young quarterbacks thrive with familiarity, helps lessen the learning curve.

DeVante-Parker

  1. Redskins: Bud Dupree, OLB, Kentucky

Skins have to replace Orakpo. Even with Orakpo they had to blitz every play to barely eke out a Monday Night Football victory over the Cowboys. That’s not a recipe for success and Dupree has the potential to blossom into an even better player than Orakpo.

bud dupree

  1. Jets: Breshad Perriman, WR, Maryland

Jets grab a receiver to help their new starter, it makes a ton of sense for a team that had an abysmal offense last season and already has plenty of building blocks on defense. Perriman has the size and speed to develop into a dynamic target for Hundley/Petty/Grayson/Mannion… or whoever.

perriman

  1. Dolphins: La’el Collins, OT/OG, LSU

Collins’ recent questioning in a murder case is non-malicious, he’s not a suspect. The fact remains that Collins is one of the best offensive lineman in the draft and the Dolphins o-line has more leaks than icloud.

collins

  1. 49ers: Arik Armstead, DE/DT, Oregon

Another one that just seems written in stone at this point. I guess the 49ers have to replace Justin Smith, seems like Baalke to ignore every other pressing need (ILB, CB, OL, WR1, TE).

arik

  1. Texans: Kevin Johnson, CB, Wake Forest

Texans just locked up Kareem Jackson and Jonathan Joseph is a mainstay but corner seems like the hot pick here despite needs elsewhere. No receiver really fits the range with the injury to Strong.

kevin johnson

  1. Chargers: Melvin Gordon, RB, Wisconsin

I’m finally buying the Chargers taking a running back, Melvin Gordon would be an excellent fit for them, Oliver could catch the passes and Gordon can just focus on doing what he does best, wrecking opposing defenses in the open field.

Melvin Gordon

  1. Chiefs: Dorial Green-Beckham, WR, Oklahoma

Chiefs grab a receiver capable of catching a touchdown pass with another receiver they got in free agency also capable of doing that. Set for years at the position if Green-Beckham can keep his head on straight.

green-beckham

  1. Browns: Ereck Flowers, OT, Miami

GM Ray Farmer and Mike Pettine grab their second of two huge needs and protect whoever’s trying to throw to Kevin White in what’s sure to be another laughably mediocre Browns offense.

ereck

  1. Eagles: Landon Collins, S, Alabama

Eagles brass has said they don’t see Collins as a first rounder, I’m calling their bluff, which may be to play mind games with the Pittsburgh Steelers. Collins fills a need effectively, recent reports suggest some see him as even more versatile than expected.

landon collins

  1. Bengals: Randy Gregory, OLB, Nebraska

Gregory needs to be in a no-nonsense locker room where he will be humbled and grow up a little. Bengals need pass rush help. Perfect fit.

Gregory

  1. Steelers: Vic Beasley, DE, Clemson

Polamalu retired, Ike Taylor retired, Jason Worilds retired. One of these answers will be answered here in the first round.

vic beasley

  1. Lions: Andrus Peat, OT, Stanford

Peat has top-5 potential with feet on par with Jake Matthews last year. He’s got to get tougher at the point of attack, just like the Lions have to get Matt Stafford five extra seconds to heave to Calvin Johnson, Eric Ebron and Golden Tate every play.

Andrus Peat

  1. Cardinals: Shane Ray, OLB, Missouri

Cardinals dream scenario here. They are a team unafraid of off-field issues as Arians is a confident disciplinarian. Ray has the sort of motor they covet and they need to get younger in the linebacking corps.

shane ray

  1. Panthers: TJ Clemmings, OT, Pittsburgh

Panthers don’t manage to overthink themselves and finally give Cam Newton the athletic, strong bookend he needs.

clemmings

  1. Ravens: Malcom Brown, DE/DT, Texas

Ravens need a Ngata replacement, Brown is a top-15 talent that only tumbled based on need. They sprint to the podium for this one.

rbb texas vs iowa 03

  1. Cowboys: Shaq Thompson, OLB/S, Washington

Cowboys need insurance at linebacker and safety. Church might not be up to par as a starting safety and Sean Lee will go out for the season sometime between the first coin toss and the first snap. Thompson is the kind of athlete that will glue Rod Marinelli’s defense.

shaq

  1. Broncos: Cameron Erving, G/C, Florida State

Orlando Franklin flew the coop, Manning needs a clean pocket, especially as his arm strength dwindles.

erving

  1. Colts: Damarious Randall, S, Arizona State

The Colts safety situation is underrated in how poor it is. Randall is considered the best cover safety in the draft and one of the best ball hawks. Slight interest for a dull as dirt defense.

randall

  1. Packers: Denzel Perryman, ILB, Miami

Packers covet inside linebackers that can excel in the run-game at the point of attack, Perryman eats running backs for breakfast.

denzel-perryman-louisville1

  1. Saints: Eric Kendricks, ILB, UCLA

Curtis Lofton is gone, Ellerbe and Hawthorne are starting. Red alert. Saints grab a rangy linebacker with athleticism, motor and excellent character.

Kendricks

  1. Patriots: Jalen Strong, WR, Arizona State

Patriots grab a steal here, Strong would be the best receiver in seven of the last ten NFL drafts.

ASU+jaelen+strong3

Mock Draft 1.0 (Picks 16-20)

Mock Draft 1.0 Picks 16-20

Monday, March 23, 2015

Picks 1-20 available on NFL Draft

16 texans Jaelen Strong, WR, Arizona State University

The Texans are closer than a lot of people think. As a result, they don’t have a lot of immediate needs to fulfill. Obviously it’d be nice to get the quarterback situation solved here in the first round, but I don’t think O’Brien finds any of them to be better solutions than incumbent starter Ryan Mallett.

So the focus shifts to developing the weapons around the promising young quarterback, and in that, Jaelen Strong fits the range here. He’s pretty similar in size and frame to DeAndre Hopkins, but so was Andre Johnson. Strong is a guy who does everything asked of him and performs at a high level. His knock is size and measurables. But he should be able to rotate in pretty quickly and offer another dynamic young target for Mallet, and Hoyer when Mallet gets injured, and Tom Savage when Hoyer gets benched. Cheap shots fired.

JaelenStrong

Dental hygiene is important, children

Height: 6’2

Weight: 217 lbs.

2014 Stats: (12 games) 82 catches, 1165 yards, 10 touchdowns

Projection: Above-average WR2

Floor: WR4

Ceiling: Low-end WR1

NFL Comparison: Terrance Williams, WR, Cowboys- A little raw, but with excellent production, size and frame which matches a prototypical WR2, willing to go high or low for a ball, excellent catch radius, can slide inside to the slot but best served as an outside receiver.

17 chargers TRADE TO BillsMarcus Mariota, QB, Oregon (Chargers receive 2016 1st and 3rd, 2015 2nd, Bills receive 2015 1st, 5th, 2016 4th)

Hey, every front office makes mistakes. Bear with me here though, we’ve seen Rex go up to get his guy before (Mark Sanchez) and he doesn’t strike me as the guy that would admit that was a mistake. The numbers on the Sanchez trade are as follows, move from 17th to 5th, trade their first round selection, a 2nd and DE Kenyon Coleman, S Abram Elam and QB Brett Ratliff. The reason I’m sticking with strictly picks here is that the Bills don’t have much in the way of player trade bait.

Here’s why it makes sense for the Chargers: Phillip Rivers is upset for some reason and wants out, I don’t think that’s all smoke. Regardless, Rivers is probably exiting his prime very soon if he hasn’t already, so they need to start thinking about a quarterback to groom, but nobody in this draft fits their offense and the range. Adding a first round pick next year will give them maneuverability to go up and get their guy, whoever emerges from the college ranks. Or they can stay put and get value as they refuel their team for the post-Rivers years. This is a good, future-conscious decision for the Chargers.

Here’s why it makes sense for the Bills: Rex is in win-now mode, he probably is a little antsy after getting run out of town in New York. The evidence: He traded for 27-year-old LeSean McCoy who probably will be in his prime for 2-3 more years max. The Bills don’t have a quarterback on roster who can win now. E.J. Manuel is probably not going to start. He’s from the previous regime and Rex has shown willingness to unload promising young players from the old regime (Kiko Alonso). So there’s no reason to believe Rex won’t try to snag the last viable starting quarterback in this draft in Mariota. And the fit actually makes a lot of sense.

Greg Roman, new Bills offensive coordinator, likes to pound it between the tackles, he runs a pretty traditional offense. This, coupled with the suffocating Bills defense should make for a very friendly environment for Mariota to not have to do it all himself. In that situation, his talent could shine. They even have a nice veteran insurance policy in Cassel who could start the season if Mariota isn’t quite ready. My only problem with this trade for the Bills is I don’t think Rex needs to rush to find his quarterback. I just think he will. And history agrees with me.

Mariota

Calm down man, you won the Heisman

Height: 6’4

Weight: 222 lbs.

2014 Stats: 4454 yards, 42 touchdowns, 4 interceptions, 68.3% completion.

Projection: Average starter

Floor: Package player

Ceiling: Franchise quarterback

NFL Comparison: Tarvaris Jackson- Excellent size and frame, good mobility but struggles with his reads at times, can make all the throws with impressive velocity but struggles fitting it into traffic, has strong leadership qualities, good command of the huddle.

18 chiefs helmet Malcom Brown, DL, Texas

The Chiefs are a team which is about 75% complete in terms of starting level talent. Maclin was a solid pick-up, not considering the egregious contract, and should provide at least one more touchdown than the Chiefs were able to attain last year from their pitiful receiving corps. They have a growing young o-line, a solid starter and backup at quarterback and one of the game’s most exciting young tight ends in Travis Kelce. Defense is a bigger concern, particularly the defensive line where an infusion of talent is badly needed.

Brown is not a pure 3-4 nose like his would-be teammate Dontari Poe but he can play in relief while offering an excellent rotational piece at both end spots. His hand usage is NFL-starter level and he can penetrate into the backfield quickly because of this. Brown knows how to read the running game and make impact plays and requires multiple lineman consistently to keep him at bay. Some view him as a top-15 talent so finding him at 18, the Chiefs scoop him up and don’t ask questions.

Malcom

Steering away from the obvious fat joke…

Height: 6’2

Weight: 319 lbs.

2014 Stats: 70 tackles, 13 tackles for loss, 6.5 sacks, 2 forced fumbles

Projection: Above-average rotational player

Floor: Journeyman

Ceiling: Pro Bowler

NFL Comparison: Star Lotulelei, DT, Carolina Panthers- A force against the run due to his strength and athleticism, he is a quick penetrator into the backfield with a strong skill-set to develop into a pass-rushing force.

19 browns helmet DJ Humphries, OT, Florida

The Browns finally made some positive strides on the offensive side of the ball, snagging Parker at pick 12. They have to find an upgrade at RT though, where Mitchell Schwartz has been a liability. Joe Thomas and Alex Mack have been the only talent on that o-line for far too long. The Browns brass, including Coach Mike Pettine, have expressed a desire to upgrade the position so this seems like a no-brainer.

D.J. Humphries is, arguably, the most pro-ready tackle left on the board. He’s got a complete game as far as his ability against the run and the pass. He’s a superior athlete with a mean-streak but he lacks the refined qualities of the higher-ranked lineman available. He handled fellow 1st round pick Shane Ray well when they played, which has impressed scouts.

Humphries

You’re scaring the kids, DJ

Height: 6’5

Weight: 307 lbs.

Projection: Average starting right tackle

Floor: Journeyman

Ceiling: Above-average left tackle

NFL Comparison: Anthony Davis, RT, San Francisco 49ers- All-around skill set as a lineman, and with prototypical size for a bookend, possesses the ability to stand up against top-level pass rushers and reach the second-level of defenses consistently in the run, but must refine his technique to reach his full potential.

20 Eagles Landon Collins, SS, Alabama

So an obvious need at running back is going to be completely ignored here. Cue laugh track. There’s some issues at guard but the starting caliber G/T prospects are off the board. Receiver could be an option here but Green-Beckham would be a reach at this point and he hasn’t proven himself as a blocker (like Kelly looks for).

Landon Collins could be the final piece for a very promising young defense as a true starting strong safety. Earl Wolff is not a starter in this league, at least not yet. Collins could pair nicely with last year’s acquisition Malcolm Jenkins as long as Jenkins continues to improve. In Collins and Jenkins, the Eagles would have a very rangy duo of safeties that can cover deep and hold-up in run support. The book on Collins is that he might be a liability against the pass but I think that’s being overstated going into the draft. That doesn’t often show up on tape. He’s a confident defender which can be a very hard thing for coaches to teach.

Landon Collins

Unreleased Dancing With the Stars Audition Tape

Height: 6’0

Weight: 228 lbs.

2014 Stats: 102 tackles, 4.5 tackles for loss, 7 passes broken up, 3 interceptions

Projection: Above-average starter

Floor: Career backup

Ceiling: Strong starter

NFL Comparison: LaRon Landry, S, Indianapolis Colts- A thumper against the run with his impressive frame and weight, can fly around the football field as a superior athlete. He has his poor moments against the pass but holds up well when put in good positions. Best fit as a close-to-the-line strong safety.